For any event that has multiple outcomes with different probabilities, it can be helpful and illustrative to construct a chart or diagram of the possible outcomes. Tree diagrams are a useful example ...

With 6:38 remaining in Sunday's game against the New York Giants, the Denver Broncos had a 0.7% chance to overcome a 26-8 deficit. And that's exactly what they did. Broncos second-year quarterback Bo ...

If we convert this spread into a probability of recession twelve months ahead using the probit model described earlier (estimated with Treasury data from January 1959 to December 2005), we can match ...

We here at For The Win love win probability charts, which sometime tell the story of a game in one graphic, from the Chiefs-Bills chart in 2022 to the Niners' Super Bowl collapse against Kansas City.